The treatment and placebo groups’ mortality lines should be independent: a trend in one should have no consequential influence on the other. However:
- All 4 lines are essentially identical for 1.6 years.
- Then there is a departure — by both lines at the same time.
The fact that both lines — treatment and placebo — depart at the same time is important. Why should the treatment suddenly become beneficial at exactly the same time as non-treatment becomes detrimental?
The average line of both treatment and non-treatment groups follows a ‘natural’ mortality curve; any natural survival curve would have its slope increasing downward. (i.e. becoming more negative.)
Both treatment and placebo lines follow this natural curve for 1.6 years. Then both diverge. The placebo group shows this slope change increasing (negative) at a faster rate than all other lines. But, surely, it should follow the natural mortality curve. Why doesn’t it?
The slope of the treatment group is nearly constant from 1.8 years onward. It’s not a curve at all, but an almost straight line — and it shouldn’t be. What it says is that old people die at the same rate as younger ones. And life isn’t like that.
Is this evidence that the data of the 4S trial were not handled in an honest manner? Were deaths occurring in the treatment group assigned to the placebo group? Is this why the two curves, which should be independent, are apparently related? Or is there a mistake somewhere? Is there an error in logic?
Tag Archives: heart disease
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Gallery
This gallery contains 3 photos.
1. A simplified representation of the lipid nutrition cycle for the brain.Receptor mediated LDL consumed by the organ and in the return cycle HDL conveys recycled cholesterol and fatty waste. 2. Sugar-damage on the LDL apolipoprotein labels. the receptor failsand … Continue reading
Sugar Damage and Dementia
A normal brain requires reliable supplies of fatty nutrients supplied by the liver as LDL. LDLs are fatty packets of nutrients travelling in the blood to feed the brain and other organs. LDL receptors on the organs recognise the LDL packets and absorb them. The ‘empty packets’ (HDL), carrying waste for recycling, return to the liver via the blood stream.
Sugar damage causes the brain to be starved of vital fat and cholesterol.
The vital fatty nutrients in LDL are falsely called ‘Bad Cholesterol’.
Raised blood lipids (LDL) are a symptom, and again the cause is sugar-damage.
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When the British physiologist John Yudkin published Pure, White and Deadly—his 1972 book linking heart disease to sugar consumption—he met strong opposition from the sugar industry. As Geoff Watts writes in this week’s BMJ (doi:10.1136/bmj.e7800), “jobs and research grants that might predictably have come Yudkin’s way did not materialise.” Attacks also included the abrupt cancellation of conferences suspected of promulgating anti-sugar findings, and the book was dismissed as a work of fiction. Enter fat in the role of chief culprit in the rise in heart disease. The fat hypothesis, the chief proponent of which was the American biologist Ancel Keys, influenced policy makers and captured the popular imagination. Meanwhile, writes Watts, medical interest in the sugar hypothesis faded. Yudkin’s book fell out of print and low fat became the buzz phrase in nutrition.



